2020

[Iceaxe]

Sorry didn't want to make this about mitt. Was more interested in y'alls thoughts about Sessions getting reelected.

Sent from my LG-M210 using Tapatalk

I'd vote for Sessions as Senator, he was a shitty AG, but for the most part he was a descent Senator. Sessions big mistake was excusing himself from the Mueller investigation, which had the effect of self castration.

YMMV

Climb-Utah.com

[Iceaxe]

If Biden romps on Super Tuesday due to the black vote, he'd be right back in it and would be the overwhelming choice of the superdelegates if he survives till the end.

Biden is done for as his campaign is out of money and moderate donors are going elsewhere.... not to mention most folks realize Biden is suffering the first signs of dementia and spends most the day wandering around looking for the salad bar.

"Look fats, here's the deal".

[oldno7]

[oldno7]

democrats seem to be taking it all in stride.

A good .18 watch...

[dougr]

https://www.dailywire.com/news/money...disappointment

Her votes will go mostly to Sanders you'd think. If Biden does fade before the black vote can save him, might be Buttigieg and Sanders as the only 2 majors left.

I still fear a Klobuchar nomination, but we do need at least one other non-Bernie candidate to make his path clear.

[Iceaxe]

You put a lot of faith in the black vote... it's not going to happen as they have nothing and no one to vote for on the Democratic ticket. There is little enthusiasm to vote in the black community this time around. You will probably never see anything close to Obama numbers again in your lifetime, that was a special time among blacks, but the Democrats keep banking on it.

And yes, if Warren folds Sanders benefits the most. And when Biden packs up and goes home Bloomberg will benefit the most....

The big question is will commie Bernie select Democrat Romney as his running mate?!?

ROFLMAO


Climb-Utah.com

[BasinCruiser]

[BasinCruiser]

[dougr]

You put a lot of faith in the black vote... it's not going to happen as they have nothing and no one to vote for on the Democratic ticket. There is little enthusiasm to vote in the black community this time around. You will probably never see anything close to Obama numbers again in your lifetime, that was a special time among blacks, but the Democrats keep banking on it.

And yes, if Warren folds Sanders benefits the most. And when Biden packs up and goes home Bloomberg will benefit the most....

Contrary to my first assumption about Warren voters going to Sanders, she probably wouldn't endorse him given their dustup. That would seemingly have some weight. I'd assume she endorses Klobuchar or Butti.

There isn't a lot of recent RCP polling data for coming states. Argue Bloomberg's money, that's fine. But free media is worth as much as Bloomberg's ad budget. It's what paradoxically drove Trump to overcome Jeb's massive warchest. With the Sanders/Warren/Steyer type voters who will not accept him in the end, makes things volatile.

No one is taking Butti seriously it seems. He may very well become the consensus to end the chaos and walk away with it. Especially if he upsets Sanders in his neighbor state of NH.

[Iceaxe]

Argue Bloomberg's money, that's fine. But free media is worth as much as Bloomberg's ad budget. It's what paradoxically drove Trump to overcome Jeb's massive warchest.

Except the media has yet to give anyone anything close to the free media they gave Trump.

I also wouldn't bet against Mayor Pete right now.

If I was betting $100 today my money would go...

$50 Bloomberg
$25 Warren
$25 Mayor Pete

Where you putting your $100?

[dougr]

To add some more color, RCP's Iowa tally. More data than the 99% AP results floating around. Sanders and Warren higher than election night, Butti and Biden lower. Sure plays into the theme of the DNC trying to keep the more radical (seemingly) wing at bay.



$100? It's getting harder. 6 months ago, it would have been:

$50 Warren
$25 Harris
$25 Biden

Now:

$35 Sanders
$35 Butti
$15 Klobu
$10 Biden
$5 Bloomberg

Sanders fundraising is still prodigious, and that's where the grassroots heart is.

But 2 days from now I'll surely bet different. Reminds me of ole Art Bell's "quickening" line. Things are changing so damn fast now.

[Iceaxe]

It appears as if Obama is unofficially backing Bloomberg at the moment as he is now narrating his TV ads.

This is the same Obama that refuses to give Biden the time of day.

Obama still carries a big stick among Demo-Rats.

The DNC will cheat Sanders out of the nomination one way or another.

[dougrz]

It appears as if Obama is unofficially backing Bloomberg at the moment as he is now narrating his TV ads

What was I saying about things moving quickly and odds changing every day? This is a big deal and I'd have to say Bloomberg is seriously in play if not the favorite now.

Sanders needs to have Warren out after NH, and for Biden to survive long enough to deny Bloomberg that extra 10 to 15%. Otherwise, Bloomberg v Sanders 1 on 1, with Obama backing Bloomberg, thereby taking the winds out of Sanders' anti wealth attack angle, would be fairly easy for Bloomberg.

Edit: wait, is this what you're referring to: https://thehill.com/homenews/campaig...bama-in-new-ad

An ad with Obama clips. Or are you talking actual narration of current ads? I'm finding nothing via a quick phone Google.

Edit 2: say Bloomberg is the nominee. I'd up my Dem sweep % from 50 to 70. You?

[BasinCruiser]

[Iceaxe]

I can't find the Bloomberg/Obama ad on YouTube but starting last night it's been airing about once an hour on SLC local tv channels. The ad shows Bloomberg and Obama together and is narrated by Obama....

Climb-Utah.com

[oldno7]

[oldno7]

[oldno7]

[oldno7]

[oldno7]