2020

[Iceaxe]

The betting line just flipped to 65% in Trumps favor....

[rockgremlin]

The betting line just flipped to 65% in Trumps favor....

....and the Chinese Yuan just plummeted....


A Trump reelection = bad news for Jhina.

[Iceaxe]

...

[Byron]

I'm watching the results on Fox and without really saying it, they've called the election to Trump. It seems all the blue votes have already been tallied and everything coming in now is red.

Trump just won Utah. Isn't it amazing that right next door you've got a bunch of boneheads?

[rockgremlin]

But....but......but......the suburban woman.....the senior vote goes with Biden.........but....butttttt.......

[dougrz]

Really disheartened how bad AZ looks. Should have worked PA.

[Iceaxe]

My current math is Trump will have 310 electrol votes, that's a plus 40.

If I'm right Trump can still lose a couple of swing/close states and still win.

Next up is will the GOP still control the Senate.

The House will remain Democrat, which is no surprise.

[rockgremlin]

Hey why has Virginia been called for Biden when the #'s clearly say differently?

[dougrz]

My current math is Trump will have 310 electrol votes, that's a plus 40.

If I'm right Trump can still lose a couple of swing/close states and still win.

Next up is will the GOP still control the Senate.

The House will remain Democrat, which is no surprise.

You are giving Trump PA, MI, WI, MN, and NV. Zero guarantee of even 1 of those.

MN and NV doubtful. PA tough to get with the 9 day non-postmarked ruling. MI and WI must be won and he gets 275.

[dougrz]

Biggest surprise is the Florida strong result not being indicative. If you'd said Trump would win FL by 3%+, most everyone would say a Trump romp.

Sorry to say my calls all this year about the power of leftist insanity infecting people was more true than not. My optimism of the past two weeks was unfounded.

[Iceaxe]

You are giving Trump PA, MI, WI, MN, and NV. Zero guarantee of even 1 of those.

MN and NV doubtful. PA tough to get with the 9 day non-postmarked ruling. MI and WI must be won and he gets 275.

Better check your math because I have MN and NV going to Biden.

And I could have miss added something... but it doesn't matter... it looks like Trump will take WI and MI and with both those it's over.

[dougrz]

Better check your math because I have MN and NV going to Biden.

Not sure. Thought you did this:

[rockgremlin]

Better check your math because I have MN and NV going to Biden.

NV is not a Republican guarantee.

At this point, we NEED MI, WI, and NC. It would be nice if Virginia and Arizona would be walked back. I'm not sure why they would call Arizona even though Maricopa county hasn't been counted yet.

We could lose Pennsylvania and still win with 272. But it's gonna be very close.

[dougrz]

^ Confirming this. Our only path is to get MI and WI.

VA, AZ, NV very slim.

MI and WI I would say less than 50/50 we get both.

[rockgremlin]

If Trump got MI + WI AND PA it's game over, Trump wins. But they're allowing shenanigans to happen with the mail in ballot BS, so PA isn't a guarantee.

[dougrz]

NC has a multi day window for ballots after, till the 12th. PA similar. GA still could flip D. PA has legendary cheating. WI is tightening.

We need a miraculous save here.

Collins in Maine looks like she may hold. So the senate is probably safe. At least that.

[dougrz]

Jesus. NY Times changing their call on GA to Biden.

Bad result.

[rockgremlin]

NC has a multi day window for ballots after, till the 12th. PA similar. GA still could flip D. PA has legendary cheating. WI is tightening.

We need a miraculous save here.

Collins in Maine looks like she may hold. So the senate is probably safe. At least that.

The senate is still intact + it looks like there are several House seats that have flipped Republican with this election.


Even if PA has legendary cheating, a 750,000 point deficit is almost insurmountable.

The states I worry the most about is GA and WI. NC is pretty much done.

[dougrz]

Odds are Biden.

Holding the senate gives us a reprieve of 2 years. Dems will be favored to pick up 3 in 2022 and take control.

Lot of intervening time, but that's the lay now anyway.

[dougrz]

Even if PA has legendary cheating, a 750,000 point deficit is almost insurmountable.

750 is surmountable. The big metro precincts are huge D vote mines. But worse, MI counts vote by mail after doing in person first. So the lead is false.

The loss of the single elector in Nebraska is bad, as that eliminated the 269-269 tie we could have won in the House.