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Thread: 2020

  1. #1221
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  3. #1222
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  5. #1223
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  11. #1228
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  14. #1230
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  15. #1231
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  16. #1232
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  17. #1233
    538's latest odds...

    I heard a conservative talking head muse that Michelle Obama might emerge as the brokered nominee.

    I think that's possible, though I'm sticking with Klobuchar being the brokered pick.

  18. #1234
    If you want real odds here is the current Vegas betting line... these are the guys actually putting their money where their mouth is and have no political bias... They pretty much have Bernie signed sealed and delivered....

    To read the odds a +110 means if you bet $100 you will make a $110 profit (collect $210 at the window. Your bet plus your profit).

    Just as I have.... Vegas has written Biden off as a $100 bet wins you $1000 profit. Warren is also in free fall...

    Vegas thinks is going to be Sanders against Bloomberg with Buttigieg as a dark horse. And I think they are pretty much spot on if we were voting today. Remember betting odds are a snapshot in time and are always changing. When you place a bet you get the odds posted at the time of your bet. If you had of bet $100 on Bernie last month your profit would have be $215 if he won.

    Vegas doesn't give Klobuchar a snowballs chance in hell....

    Vegas does have "Micheal" Obama on the board and you can bet on "it" to win. A $100 bet would win you $10,000.

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  20. #1235
    ^^^What this tells me is that it's going to be Bloomberg vs. Trump this Fall because I don't think there's any way this country will ever consider a blatant socialist for president...at least not now. Not to mention...the DNC will find a way to put a torpedo broadside to the S.S. Sanders in due time...just like they did in 2016.

    Another indicator that points to Bloomberg is that Trump tweets about Bloomberg frequently. This means he's watching him closely, and plotting for the eventual showdown later this year.
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  22. #1236
    I think Trump fears Bloomberg the most.... but I just don't see how the DNC will be able to screw Bernie out of the nomination again this year if he is still on top after Super Tuesday. if they do the Bernie Bros and liberal wing will burn the Democratic party to the ground.

    Right now I'm just watching and curious to see how the DNC will try to screw Bernie.... because you just know they are going to try....

    And I'm hoping like hell Bernie wins the Democratic nomination... as there is no way in hell this country will elect a socialist..... at least not for several more years....

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  24. #1237
    Quote Originally Posted by Iceaxe View Post
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    What were you saying? Sorry, lost track.

    If it goes brokered, I don't recall if delegates can be pledged/given by a candidate cutting a deal, or if they're released and free to vote with a candidate's voting advice only. That detail might weigh on the outcome.

  25. #1238
    Quote Originally Posted by dougrz View Post
    If it goes brokered, I don't recall if delegates can be pledged/given by a candidate cutting a deal, or if they're released and free to vote with a candidate's voting advice only. That detail might weigh on the outcome.
    So I'm reading that superdelegates do not vote on the first ballot. After the first ballot, all delegates become free.

    That would seem to weigh initially for Sanders, superdels not counted. But after that, the other 60% to 70% of dels could easily deny him.

  26. #1239
    The DNC has delegates and super delegates.... I believe their rules and voting power are different. I could be wrong.

    I know super delegates don't come into play unless it goes to a second vote. It was the super delegates that hosed Bernie last time and why the rules were changed so they couldn't vote until round two.

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  27. #1240
    I'm not able to watch the Dem debate tonight. But I did see a headline about Warren's attack on Bloomberg and NDAs with women. Bloomberg's response read bad in text. Awaiting @Iceaxe 's take on MB's performance and that specific interchange.

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