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10-07-2015, 01:55 PM
Thread: Keyhole flash flood deaths
by kidjan- Replies
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I don't follow that logic. There's fewer...
I don't follow that logic.
There's fewer people overall (all the pros bail), and there's probably fewer noobies as well because more of them are deterred by the additional bureaucracy. Fewer... -
10-02-2015, 01:51 PM
Thread: Keyhole flash flood deaths
by kidjan- Replies
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I'm definitely not blaming the park, although I...
I'm definitely not blaming the park, although I think they should be more blunt in monsoon season: afternoon storm warning = no joke. Reconsider your trip.
Exactly: if you don't live in an... -
09-29-2015, 03:59 PM
Thread: Keyhole flash flood deaths
by kidjan- Replies
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Your first bullet point is the one that hits home...
Your first bullet point is the one that hits home with me. Given that it was 40% chance of rain, probable flash flooding, and predicted afternoon storms when they pulled the permit...and then 50%...
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09-25-2015, 10:37 AM
Thread: Keyhole flash flood deaths
by kidjan- Replies
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I don't take offense to anything. I never...
I don't take offense to anything.
I never said that it was. What I am trying to say: a precipitation layer does not necessarily imply the directional movement of a storm. However, for the now... -
09-25-2015, 10:32 AM
Thread: Keyhole flash flood deaths
by kidjan- Replies
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I'm not trying to "miss the obvious" (it's not...
I'm not trying to "miss the obvious" (it's not like I start my mornings out trying to be oblivious); I'm trying to understand things. I'm open to the possibility that I'm wrong.
My only point is... -
09-24-2015, 09:03 PM
Thread: Keyhole flash flood deaths
by kidjan- Replies
- 163
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- 74,396
Yep, I remeasured--I stand corrected: ~15 miles
Yep, I remeasured--I stand corrected: ~15 miles
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09-24-2015, 08:53 PM
Thread: Keyhole flash flood deaths
by kidjan- Replies
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- 74,396
I watched it repeatedly. That's a...
I watched it repeatedly.
That's a precipitation layer on the map, not the direction in which a storm front is actually moving. Think of a storm moving west to east shaped like a "\" hitting... -
09-24-2015, 03:46 PM
Thread: Keyhole flash flood deaths
by kidjan- Replies
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I measured on google maps; ~25 miles as the bird...
I measured on google maps; ~25 miles as the bird files.
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09-24-2015, 03:44 PM
Thread: Keyhole flash flood deaths
by kidjan- Replies
- 163
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I've never been in one, but the few...
I've never been in one, but the few videos/pictures I've seen of canyons in zion flashing lead me to believe if you're in the water, you are super, super dead.
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09-24-2015, 11:21 AM
Thread: Keyhole flash flood deaths
by kidjan- Replies
- 163
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I was thinking more about David Rankin's...
I was thinking more about David Rankin's analysis...and the time displayed isn't Utah time, it's off by an hour. So I was wrong: the storm did hit keyhole between 4:40 and 5, like NPS stated. David...
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09-24-2015, 10:58 AM
Thread: Keyhole flash flood deaths
by kidjan- Replies
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there is not. the first rap is correctly marked...
there is not. the first rap is correctly marked in the overview jman posted. the yellow section requires no rappelling, largest drop is maybe 4-5 feet or so.
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09-23-2015, 03:59 PM
Thread: Keyhole flash flood deaths
by kidjan- Replies
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Yup, that's exactly what I was looking for. ...
Yup, that's exactly what I was looking for. Thanks. So they were at the opening of middle which is what I suspected, but wasn't sure about.
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09-23-2015, 02:47 PM
Thread: Keyhole flash flood deaths
by kidjan- Replies
- 163
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- 74,396
By "top of the slot" I'm assuming you mean the...
By "top of the slot" I'm assuming you mean the entrance to keyhole (i.e. bottom of steep root-infested slope)?
It can't be 4:30, because the rain was already pounding the keyhole basin around... -
09-23-2015, 09:43 AM
Thread: Keyhole flash flood deaths
by kidjan- Replies
- 163
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I'm really interested A) in the photo's timestamp...
I'm really interested A) in the photo's timestamp (it should have info about when it was taken) and B) the location of the photo. That looks like it was taken by the entrance to keyhole (i.e....
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