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  1. Thread: 2020

    by dougr
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    678,237

    They will and it will, yes. This is the story of...

    They will and it will, yes. This is the story of the left for decades. Discrediting freedom, this country, and its people. Hasn't it worked? They own it all, have corrupted the culture, have...
  2. Thread: 2020

    by dougr
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    678,237

    In thinking about the '16 and '18 results,...

    In thinking about the '16 and '18 results, constructing a +/- from those base results might be useful. Mine would be as follows, with the last several elections data listed:


    '08: D +10.6%...
  3. Thread: 2020

    by dougr
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    4,904
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    678,237

    Permanent mail-in voting and amnesty. Top 2...

    Permanent mail-in voting and amnesty. Top 2 things they'll do. Consolidate power. Everything else flows from perm Dem control in time.
  4. Thread: 2020

    by dougr
    Replies
    4,904
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    678,237

    Granted we disagree on what's to come, but...

    Granted we disagree on what's to come, but consider the Dems received 58% of the vote in the 2018 House races. Consider they're odds on favorites to take the Senate given the lay of the map. And you...
  5. Thread: 2020

    by dougr
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    678,237

    https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/biden-harris-ticke...

    https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/biden-harris-ticket-collapse-newt-gingrich

    Newt's bold prediction. Recall he was the only major pundt to insist, literally insist, Trump was going to win in 2016.
    ...
  6. Thread: 2020

    by dougr
    Replies
    4,904
    Views
    678,237

    For me it comes down to policy. I don't care...

    For me it comes down to policy. I don't care about personalities. I like Trump's policies, it's that simple for me. I can fully acknowledge Obama is elegant, well spoken, and not personally...
  7. Thread: 2020

    by dougr
    Replies
    4,904
    Views
    678,237

    So to sum up how the 2020 race has played out: ...

    So to sum up how the 2020 race has played out:

    1. Trump's ace card, the economy, is gone as an issue. The stock market doing headline well from Fed printing while actual earnings are poor doesn't...
  8. Thread: 2020

    by dougr
    Replies
    4,904
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    678,237

    With Bernie suspending, I'm not sure if this...

    With Bernie suspending, I'm not sure if this makes the road easier for Biden to decline the nom, or easier to keep it since he no longer has to expose his weak self as much along the way.
  9. Thread: 2020

    by dougr
    Replies
    4,904
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    678,237

    https://www.foxnews.com/politics/dnc-convention-co...

    https://www.foxnews.com/politics/dnc-convention-coronavirus-canceled

    94463
  10. Thread: 2020

    by dougr
    Replies
    4,904
    Views
    678,237

    Perfect for Cuomo to deflect and say he's...

    Perfect for Cuomo to deflect and say he's concentrating on the task at hand. I'm more convinced that Biden is toast. Obama will be putting pressure on him to step aside.

    I'll add the following...
  11. Thread: 2020

    by dougr
    Replies
    4,904
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    678,237

    Good article on that:...

    Good article on that: https://www.nationalreview.com/2020/03/will-biden-live-up-to-his-own-principles/
  12. Thread: 2020

    by dougr
    Replies
    4,904
    Views
    678,237

    Ahem. And so begins the push out of Biden....

    Ahem. And so begins the push out of Biden. They've been trying to get him out, he's been resisting understandably, they said "we'll destroy you," he said fat chance, and here's the fat.

    Admittedly...
  13. Thread: 2020

    by dougr
    Replies
    4,904
    Views
    678,237

    I think it'll be Stacey Abrams, if a black. ...

    I think it'll be Stacey Abrams, if a black. Biden needs to break through in the south to beat Trump, and she offers something there. Harris gives him an urbanite, West coast connection which he...
  14. Thread: 2020

    by dougr
    Replies
    4,904
    Views
    678,237

    Sadly does look like serious polling momentum for...

    Sadly does look like serious polling momentum for Biden. I think he'll take Texas and come close in CA, if not take it. This speaks to the media's power more than anything. Which bodes ill for Nov...
  15. Thread: 2020

    by dougr
    Replies
    4,904
    Views
    678,237

    Polling momentum for Biden in CA and TX. As we...

    Polling momentum for Biden in CA and TX. As we saw in NV and SC, late momentum magnified. Add in Buttigieg's votes going mostly to him. I'm thinking he scores much better than expected on Tues....
  16. Thread: 2020

    by dougr
    Replies
    4,904
    Views
    678,237

    Given CA and TX are the lion's share on Tuesday,...

    Given CA and TX are the lion's share on Tuesday, these. Consider the polling for NV and SC correctly predicted the winners, but missed the margin by a lot. The leaders showing momentum late saw their...
  17. Thread: 2020

    by dougr
    Replies
    4,904
    Views
    678,237

    ^ I think it's indeed shaping up that way....

    ^ I think it's indeed shaping up that way. Remarkable turn of events. If Warren's attacks on Bloomberg killed him as it seems, she paved the way for Sanders or Biden.

    Look at the MA polls:
    ...
  18. Thread: 2020

    by dougr
    Replies
    4,904
    Views
    678,237

    Agree with that specifically. So given they'll...

    Agree with that specifically. So given they'll all endorse, you'd have to think Warren for Sanders, all others for Biden? Maybe 1 for Bloomberg? Then Biden v Bloomberg v Sanders. This poll about...
  19. Thread: 2020

    by dougr
    Replies
    4,904
    Views
    678,237

    Looks like a huge Biden win in SC. Bigger than...

    Looks like a huge Biden win in SC. Bigger than the most optimistic polls. Probably says the Obama draw for black voters is still strong.

    I think he might be able to win the nom. Sanders' road is...
  20. Thread: 2020

    by dougr
    Replies
    4,904
    Views
    678,237

    Latest RCP South Carolina polls 94133

    Latest RCP South Carolina polls

    94133
  21. Thread: 2020

    by dougr
    Replies
    4,904
    Views
    678,237

    That's a funny video. Big cheer from the audience...

    That's a funny video. Big cheer from the audience for Warren.
  22. Thread: 2020

    by dougr
    Replies
    4,904
    Views
    678,237

    Many opinion pieces on the debate performances....

    Many opinion pieces on the debate performances. But (douche) Mary Anne Marsh's is interesting. I agree with almost nothing she writes, but a Dem's perspective on a Dem debate is instructive.
    ...
  23. Thread: 2020

    by dougr
    Replies
    4,904
    Views
    678,237

    Didn't see the debate tonight. What are some...

    Didn't see the debate tonight. What are some opinions. I see 2timer's above.
  24. Thread: 2020

    by dougr
    Replies
    4,904
    Views
    678,237

    Damn, some seriously coordinated attacks on...

    Damn, some seriously coordinated attacks on Bernie tonight. Bloomberg's ads, Steyer's strong words against "socialism" in that townhall, and the reasonable questioning of Bernie prompting his fact...
  25. Thread: 2020

    by dougr
    Replies
    4,904
    Views
    678,237

    Same glidepath in SC polls as in NV. We need...

    Same glidepath in SC polls as in NV. We need some rally by anyone to inflict some damage on Bernie. Might Bloomberg go neg with his money?

    94108
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