Originally Posted by
dougrz
Have we all started making early predictions on the results?
Mine-
Nat pop: 56-41
EV: 410-128
Pop prediction is shy of the Dems' 58% in the 2018 House races. It's conservative. Biden has a good chance of beating the modern 60% record LBJ got.
EV is a rough guess based on pop margin and bad recent years' results in states.
I know you all think I'm the hyper fatalistic Dougie Downer, but there was a time, the first 2 years, where I thought we had a chance to build a new coalition of working whites and minorities. The 2018 blowout showed that to be fantasy.
Recall I'm the only one here who kept saying Biden wasn't done until South Carolina, as you all laughed.