Well, one perk of staying with a field director who took notice of your work is an offer to meet Don, Jr. This Sunday at his AZ small gathering of 250 or so.
I was planning to drive back Sun morning. What say, stick around?
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Well, one perk of staying with a field director who took notice of your work is an offer to meet Don, Jr. This Sunday at his AZ small gathering of 250 or so.
I was planning to drive back Sun morning. What say, stick around?
Absolutely stick around. When are you ever gonna have that opportunity again?Quote:
Originally Posted by dougrz
I said it weeks ago...the election is already over.Quote:
Originally Posted by dougrz
Oh yeah...that guy might be the Prez someday. I would be cool to have met the Prez, huh? Also, it would be good to stick around because it's funny how opportunity knocks when you're in the right place at the right time.Quote:
Originally Posted by dougrz
^^^This^^^
Don Jr has taken to politics like a duck to water.... if there is a future Trump president my money is on Don Jr.
Not to mention networking can do more to improve your life in the form of opportunities than just about anything else.
Two new Trafalgar polls. Tillis taking a small lead in the NC senate race. PA with a Trump lead. Obvious positive news everywhere.https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/202...2cbc062f54.jpghttps://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/202...1be1469aa0.jpg
It's cute watching Dougrz discover what we have been telling him for months....
^^^^I've watched the shooting footage -- it was absolutely justified. The dude came up on two white cops with a knife in hand. He was advancing very rapidly and not responding to the officers repeated commands to stop and drop the knife. They had no other choice but to open fire.
I guess the only thing I could possibly see was excessive was the number of rounds they fired. Between the two cops they put over a dozen bullets into him. He was killed instantly. And there were at least a dozen black onlookers. It didn't look good. The riots started almost instantly.
That was the first thing the cameraman mentioned, "why'd you shoot him so many times." We rational people understand once the decision to shoot is made, it's to kill.Quote:
Originally Posted by rockgremlin
But the irony of their looting, beyond the headline reminder to people of D chaos vs R law and order, is disruption of voting in their absolutely necessary vote stronghold of Philly. And any other urban center where this may erupt. Bring it.
I was theorizing Antifa doing this in key R areas in key battlegrounds. And here they might do it to themselves if these go a week.
I don't want to jinx anything and need to pep to keep up my work level.Quote:
Originally Posted by Iceaxe
But ya'll have been screaming landslide for months while I warned of a Dem sweep and the power of their total info control to shape the race. The Byron/Schweikart theory of Dems knowing they'd lose all along vs my theory the left so thoroughly controls the levers of societal thought.
And here we sit on a razor's edge between a sweep and a very narrow Trump win. Where he has to get a straight flush again, with an EV total of around 280. As perspective on where we sit.
Not terribly comforting or assured. My field director host and I do a nightly vomit about the ramifications of a Dem sweep. Other than that we're good.
In other news, she'll be shipped off to Georgia for the runoff election for senate seat 2. Imagine the utter chaos if that seat is to determine senate control after a Dem sweep. The fate of the country, Constitution, court packing, amnesty, all of it, on Georgians in a Dec vote a month after. The state's population will swell and hotels will be overrun with outsider pol workers looking to sway it. Never mind silicon valley and Chinese money looking for the final knockout blow to the USA.
Schweikart's take on the Bobulinski story: too late, hard to follow.
He understands the swamp, beyond it as a mere slogan.
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Add: the House vote is the pulse of the people. As the Founders designed it. I haven't seen any numbers but Schweikart did say a few days ago the good red data wasn't evident there.Quote:
Originally Posted by Iceaxe
House races are "which party label do you basically trust," while a presidential and senatorial vote have more variables. That's disappointing and not good.
Quote:
Originally Posted by dougrz
There's the old Dougie Downer.... I'm beginning to realize the problem is you believe the media and not what your own eyes and common sense tells you.
Run a map at 270towin.com. We need all the battlegrounds to reach 280, 290. Unless you actually believe states like CO, NV, NM, MN are in play.Quote:
Originally Posted by Iceaxe
I've talked to maybe 1000 people in the last month. I've heard Rs staying R, Rs for Biden, Ds for R, and everything in between. I don't hear a wild landslide for R in my direct contacts, no. Yesterday was disheartening. A posh area north of Scottsdale in the foothills with a disturbing number of Rs for D.
My best guess for a win is the 2016 map, with probably minus WI and lean minus AZ. That's around 284. Towery and Cahaly on Hannity, who are basically the only pollsters worth a damn and correctly called 2016, say it's going to be very tight for Trump to win. Reality.
One more week and we shall see...
Don't mind me... I'm also the guy that believes that Covid is a Scam-Demic and is being used as a power grab by the ruling elites much like 9-11 was.
Like clockwork, a market selloff to amplify the scamdemic fears. "Not only will we die if Trump stays in office, our economy will collapse if we don't get Biden in to do more lockdowns."
Quote:
Originally Posted by dougrz
The stock market scenarios for either candidate are all over the map, but from what I've seen a Trump reelection is definitely the preferred option. Most Biden scenarios say the same thing: Market drops immediately followed by a slow recovery as stimulus measures kick in.
What I meant was more along the lines of a manufactured selloff by the majors a week out. Literally just start lowering bids and dumping holdings.Quote:
Originally Posted by rockgremlin
They don't care if they lose a few billion this week, they'll make it back with the fully reopened China trade policy of Dems. Not to mention picking up the pieces after a selloff they manufactured.
I'm that cynical about the financial powers in this country, yes.
More morning pep.
NC live data: https://joeisdone.github.io/northcarolina/https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/202...898b73daf2.jpg
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My concern with Schweikart's FL calculations is this:
He gets his target numbers from looking at the D margin going into 2016 election day (ED) and then how much Trump won by. Example, Ds led by 88k on 2016 ED, Trump won by 200k, therefore there's a 288k R reservoir to count on.
My quibble is, with all the extra vote by mail (VBM) and in-person early voting (IPEV), don't we need to factor down the reservoir size?
To wit. In 2016, say 66% voted on ED. This year 33% will vote on ED. Therefore our 288k 2016 reservoir is only 144k this year.
I don't know if he's adjusted accordingly, my Qs have been unanswered on his threads. Just a thought. Who am I to question his calcs, hopefully.
The three key states are Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.... if Trump wins just Pennsylvania it's all over. If Trump wins just Michigan or Wisconsin it's over unless Biden manages to flip a red state, with North Carolina the most vulnerable of the red states.
On a positive note... Black Lives Matter is currently rioting and looting in Philly because police shot a guy charging them with a knife. Someone obviously didn't get the memo that you are supposed to stop burning and destroying other peoples property until after the election. There is an excellent chance that Black Lives Matter just handed PA and the election to Trump. [emoji631]
Damn, we're down that much?https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/202...b7e7d30c02.jpg
I forgot to tell you guys about a good house a few days ago. The day I was walking with the great looking Trump girl.
I looked over and noticed she was invited in. I finished with my house and was waiting. Hmm, shock, a looker was invited inside.
She came out and called me over. A maybe 90 year old guy invites me in, takes me to his memorabilia room. Chock full of USMC gear and photos and letters from his days. He had a USMC flag out front.
I looked up and saw a signed photo of Chesty Puller. Ah, my mom's favorite military man. Why am I such a patriot? I learned at my mom's foot, end of story.
So I mentioned my mom loved him and I knew about him. The man was shocked, couldn't believe someone my age would know. He started crying.
Got to me. Good, good people.
Late morning pep. I do this between houses, am in a long walk area today.https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/202...7d0366f7a8.jpghttps://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/202...cbbaf642c3.jpghttps://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/202...55b85dee5d.jpghttps://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/202...74988a696f.jpg
Hey Doug -- did you make it down to Bullhead City for the Trump rally?